Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 51.6% vs Hertl 54.9% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 58.5%
Defensive zone
Hertl 63.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 64.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Shore
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Shore
Hertl
Last 6: Shore 4-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shore
2
0
Shore
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Shore
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (661)
55.0% (382)
-3.1%
Power Play
75.0% (20)
59.7% (67)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (60)
75.0% (8)
-31.7%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Shore is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Shore shoots right. Hertl is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Shore
Hertl
Home
53.4% (348)
58.8% (221)
Away
50.4% (393)
53.4% (236)
By Period
Shore
Hertl
P1
49.4%
52.6%
P2
53.6%
53.6%
P3
52.5%
62.4%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 09:39 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 1 | 15:52 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 1 | 09:43 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |