Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 50.9% vs Hertl 54.2% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 62.0%
Defensive zone
Shore 71.0%
Neutral zone
Shore 56.5%
Result
Nicholas Shore favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Shore
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Shore
Hertl
Last 10: Shore 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
5
Shore
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shore
7
3
Shore
Hertl
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
4
Shore
Hertl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,455)
53.8% (8,268)
-2.0%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
59.3% (1,975)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (297)
46.3% (806)
-3.2%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Shore is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,965).
Shore shoots right. Hertl is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,133).
Home / Away
Shore
Hertl
Home
52.0% (1,391)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
49.9% (1,425)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Shore
Hertl
P1
50.6%
53.6%
P2
51.2%
54.1%
P3
50.7%
55.3%
OT
73.3%
46.5%
Final 5 min
53.1%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 3 | 08:25 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 3 | 08:15 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 02:48 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 08:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 18:28 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 09:39 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 1 | 15:52 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |