Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 71.8%
Defensive zone
Schenn 61.1%
Neutral zone
Schenn 80.6%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Schenn
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Schenn
Bjugstad
Last 5: Schenn 4-1 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
46.7% (398)
+5.5%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
51.6% (31)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
62.5% (8)
-5.1%
On even strength, Schenn has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Schenn is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Schenn shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Schenn
Bjugstad
Home
51.1% (575)
47.3% (220)
Away
53.4% (607)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Schenn
Bjugstad
P1
51.4%
46.1%
P2
52.7%
46.3%
P3
52.7%
50.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:06 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:06 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |