Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.2% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 76.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 79.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 74.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 78.0%
22.0%
78.0%
Sissons
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sissons
Bjugstad
Last 5: Sissons 1-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Sissons
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Sissons
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (713)
49.4% (867)
+7.7%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
56.0% (25)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (351)
40.7% (216)
+5.7%
On even strength, Sissons has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Sissons is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Sissons shoots right. Bjugstad is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Sissons
Bjugstad
Home
54.8% (569)
46.5% (480)
Away
52.1% (539)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Sissons
Bjugstad
P1
56.1%
48.7%
P2
49.6%
45.6%
P3
54.8%
49.1%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2023 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:09 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |