Connor McMichael vs Nick Bjugstad
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 80.3%
Defensive zone
McMichael 57.2%
Neutral zone
McMichael 68.2%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
McMichael
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
McMichael
Bjugstad
Last 6: McMichael 1-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
3
McMichael
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
McMichael
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
50.7% (906)
-7.3%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
48.1% (108)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
44.4% (239)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. McMichael is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (281).
McMichael shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
McMichael
Bjugstad
Home
42.1% (444)
49.8% (643)
Away
42.8% (428)
48.7% (610)
By Period
McMichael
Bjugstad
P1
42.5%
49.4%
P2
41.9%
50.5%
P3
42.5%
47.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |