Scouting Report
Drew Stafford holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stafford 52.5% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 58.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 58.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 55.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Stafford
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stafford
Bjugstad
Last 5: Stafford 2-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stafford
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Stafford
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stafford
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (155)
48.3% (937)
+8.5%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
56.1% (148)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (21)
34.2% (38)
+3.9%
On even strength, Stafford has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Stafford is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Stafford shoots right. Bjugstad is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (359).
Home / Away
Stafford
Bjugstad
Home
58.4% (89)
50.5% (574)
Away
50.0% (108)
47.2% (549)
By Period
Stafford
Bjugstad
P1
65.5%
52.4%
P2
47.9%
46.8%
P3
49.3%
45.5%
OT
100.0%
78.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stafford
40.0%▼
47.0%
53.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Drew Stafford |