Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.7% vs Bjugstad 50.8% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 57.3%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 83.1%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 65.7%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Nielsen
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Nielsen
Bjugstad
Last 9: Nielsen 1-8 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
3
Nielsen
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Nielsen
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
3
Nielsen
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (836)
46.9% (194)
+0.7%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
59.2% (103)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (158)
0.0% (1)
+38.0%
On penalty kill, Nielsen has a +38.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Nielsen is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (445).
Nielsen shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Bjugstad
Home
50.4% (508)
47.7% (149)
Away
42.6% (533)
54.4% (149)
By Period
Nielsen
Bjugstad
P1
48.1%
44.0%
P2
44.6%
53.5%
P3
46.8%
53.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.4%
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 28, 2017 | OT | 02:07 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 14:34 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 12:10 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |