Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hughes wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 89.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 66.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 66.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Hughes
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Hughes
Bjugstad
Last 7: Hughes 2-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
4
Hughes
Bjugstad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Hughes
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
50.7% (906)
-15.1%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
48.1% (108)
+1.9%
On even strength, Bjugstad has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hughes shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Hughes
Bjugstad
Home
38.4% (198)
49.8% (643)
Away
35.3% (119)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Hughes
Bjugstad
P1
44.3%
49.4%
P2
34.2%
50.5%
P3
34.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
40.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:29 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |