Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brown wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 43.3% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (-16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 60.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 52.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.5%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Brown
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Brown
Bjugstad
Last 7: Brown 3-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brown
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
3
Brown
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
2
0
Brown
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
39.2% (166)
55.9% (245)
-16.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
0.0% (3)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
57.1% (7)
-57.1%
On power play, Brown has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Brown is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Brown shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Brown
Bjugstad
Home
36.5% (85)
53.2% (111)
Away
42.2% (83)
56.9% (144)
By Period
Brown
Bjugstad
P1
42.1%
44.6%
P2
29.1%
61.4%
P3
46.4%
61.3%
Final 5 min
45.3%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
39.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Logan Brown |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 02:31 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |