Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 47.8%). Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Couture wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 62.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 59.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 53.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Couture
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Couture
Bjugstad
Last 10: Couture 2-8 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Couture
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
3
Couture
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
3
Couture
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
49.4% (867)
-0.2%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
56.0% (25)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
40.7% (216)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Couture is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Couture shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Couture
Bjugstad
Home
49.6% (713)
46.5% (480)
Away
45.0% (636)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Couture
Bjugstad
P1
47.2%
48.7%
P2
45.0%
45.6%
P3
50.0%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |