Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Rantanen wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 53.2% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Rantanen leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 95.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 81.5%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 71.6%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Rantanen
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
1
(11 meetings)
10
1
Rantanen
Bjugstad
Last 10: Rantanen 9-1 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
10
0
Rantanen
Bjugstad
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Rantanen
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (346)
50.7% (906)
+1.0%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
48.1% (108)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
44.4% (239)
-44.4%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Rantanen is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Rantanen shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Bjugstad
Home
55.8% (258)
49.8% (643)
Away
51.8% (253)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Rantanen
Bjugstad
P1
50.0%
49.4%
P2
56.6%
50.5%
P3
54.3%
47.9%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |