Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.8%). Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Bonino 48.9% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 51.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 53.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 54.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Bjugstad
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Bjugstad
Bonino
Last 8: Bjugstad 6-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
0
Bjugstad
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
1
Bjugstad
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (937)
49.6% (837)
-1.3%
Power Play
56.1% (148)
50.7% (223)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
34.2% (38)
41.0% (134)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Bjugstad shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Bonino
Home
50.5% (574)
50.7% (564)
Away
47.2% (549)
47.1% (630)
By Period
Bjugstad
Bonino
P1
52.4%
44.9%
P2
46.8%
50.1%
P3
45.5%
50.9%
OT
78.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
48.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 15:03 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 13:28 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 07:57 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 17:32 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 16:03 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |