Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.9% vs Bonino 50.0% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 17-16 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 63.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 55.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 53.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Bjugstad
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
17
(33 meetings)
16
17
Bjugstad
Bonino
Last 10: Bjugstad 4-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
8
4
Bjugstad
Bonino
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
7
Bjugstad
Bonino
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
6
Bjugstad
Bonino
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,634)
50.6% (8,315)
-2.0%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
54.1% (972)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
44.6% (1,693)
-0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Bjugstad shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Bonino
Home
49.8% (4,020)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
48.1% (4,057)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Bjugstad
Bonino
P1
49.0%
50.6%
P2
49.1%
48.5%
P3
48.4%
51.1%
OT
61.3%
45.7%
Final 5 min
47.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:02 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 05:55 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 07:12 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 01:57 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 04:17 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |