Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Bonino 47.6% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 66.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 59.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 57.7%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Bjugstad
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Bjugstad
Bonino
Last 6: Bjugstad 5-1 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
1
Bjugstad
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
0
Bjugstad
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (806)
48.2% (926)
-0.9%
Power Play
55.0% (149)
48.6% (109)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
59.0% (39)
43.3% (210)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Bjugstad is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Bjugstad shoots right. Bonino is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Bonino
Home
55.4% (446)
47.8% (653)
Away
43.6% (548)
47.0% (592)
By Period
Bjugstad
Bonino
P1
49.4%
45.9%
P2
48.1%
47.0%
P3
48.6%
49.4%
OT
61.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 16:34 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |