Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Bjugstad wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 50.8% vs Bonino 53.9% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 84.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 65.0%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 61.0%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Bjugstad
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bjugstad
Bonino
Last 5: Bjugstad 1-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Bjugstad
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Bjugstad
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (194)
56.4% (771)
-9.5%
Power Play
59.2% (103)
60.0% (30)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.8% (169)
-43.8%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (211).
Bjugstad shoots right. Bonino is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Bonino
Home
47.7% (149)
56.5% (531)
Away
54.4% (149)
51.7% (439)
By Period
Bjugstad
Bonino
P1
44.0%
56.7%
P2
53.5%
48.1%
P3
53.3%
58.0%
OT
50.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
51.0%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 01:57 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |