Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.3% vs Hischier 56.2% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 76.1%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 68.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.1%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Bjugstad
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Bjugstad
Hischier
Last 7: Bjugstad 3-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Bjugstad
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Hischier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
1
Bjugstad
Hischier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (906)
56.1% (1,018)
-5.4%
Power Play
48.1% (108)
59.9% (289)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (239)
51.3% (80)
-6.9%
On power play, Hischier has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Bjugstad shoots right. Hischier is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Hischier
Home
49.8% (643)
56.5% (706)
Away
48.7% (610)
56.7% (681)
By Period
Bjugstad
Hischier
P1
49.4%
54.8%
P2
50.5%
57.8%
P3
47.9%
57.6%
OT
50.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:40 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2 | 13:36 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |