Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Bjugstad wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.9% vs Patrick 51.0% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 56.4%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 62.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 61.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Bjugstad
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bjugstad
Patrick
Last 5: Bjugstad 1-4 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
2
Bjugstad
Patrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Patrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Bjugstad
Patrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,634)
50.6% (1,978)
-2.0%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
57.5% (120)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
57.7% (26)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,330).
Bjugstad shoots right. Patrick is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (683).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Patrick
Home
49.8% (4,020)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
48.1% (4,057)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Bjugstad
Patrick
P1
49.0%
52.9%
P2
49.1%
49.1%
P3
48.4%
51.3%
OT
61.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2019 | OT | 00:36 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 05:57 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |