Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Bjugstad wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 53.8% vs Patrick 48.9% (+7.0%)
Offensive zone
Patrick 70.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 63.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.2%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Bjugstad
Patrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (245)
47.4% (156)
+8.5%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
56.3% (16)
-56.3%
On power play, Patrick has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Bjugstad is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Bjugstad shoots right. Patrick is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Patrick
Home
53.2% (111)
43.8% (96)
Away
56.9% (144)
53.9% (76)
By Period
Bjugstad
Patrick
P1
44.6%
44.4%
P2
61.4%
45.6%
P3
61.3%
56.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%