Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.5%). Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bjugstad wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.9% vs Nash 48.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 51.6%
Defensive zone
Nash 53.3%
Neutral zone
Nash 53.3%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Bjugstad
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Bjugstad
Nash
Last 10: Bjugstad 3-7 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
3
Bjugstad
Nash
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Bjugstad
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
5
7
Bjugstad
Nash
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,634)
48.7% (4,621)
-0.1%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
51.0% (249)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
44.9% (550)
-0.6%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,330).
Bjugstad shoots right. Nash is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,674).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Nash
Home
49.8% (4,020)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
48.1% (4,057)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Bjugstad
Nash
P1
49.0%
49.0%
P2
49.1%
47.9%
P3
48.4%
48.0%
OT
61.3%
68.4%
Final 5 min
47.3%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 1 | 18:32 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 1 | 08:18 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 12:13 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 14:55 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 2 | 16:14 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Riley Nash |