Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Bjugstad wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 47.9% vs Strome 42.3% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 53.7%
Defensive zone
Strome 54.7%
Neutral zone
Strome 56.7%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Bjugstad
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Bjugstad
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Bjugstad
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Bjugstad
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (398)
41.2% (1,040)
+5.5%
Power Play
51.6% (31)
43.0% (151)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
51.4% (35)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Bjugstad is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Bjugstad shoots right. Strome is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Strome
Home
47.3% (220)
40.1% (581)
Away
47.5% (217)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Bjugstad
Strome
P1
46.1%
41.4%
P2
46.3%
42.9%
P3
50.4%
40.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 06:45 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |