Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Helenius on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.1% vs Helenius 47.4% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helenius 58.9%
Defensive zone
Helenius 59.9%
Neutral zone
Helenius 57.1%
Result
Samuel Helenius favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Bjugstad
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Bjugstad
Helenius
Last 5: Bjugstad 0-5 Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
1
Bjugstad
Helenius
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
1
Bjugstad
Helenius
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
3
Bjugstad
Helenius
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (280)
46.8% (201)
+2.1%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
25.0% (4)
+22.2%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Bjugstad shoots right. Helenius is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (51).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Helenius
Home
48.4% (190)
48.0% (98)
Away
49.2% (132)
44.4% (108)
By Period
Bjugstad
Helenius
P1
41.7%
51.9%
P2
56.6%
37.9%
P3
48.7%
47.6%
Final 5 min
51.2%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Helenius
48.0%▬
47.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 09:23 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:31 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:19 | Offensive | Samuel Helenius |