Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 47.3%). Look for Laughton on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.0% vs Laughton 47.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laughton 55.8%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 68.1%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 54.0%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Bjugstad
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Bjugstad
Laughton
Last 8: Bjugstad 2-6 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
2
Bjugstad
Laughton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
Bjugstad
Laughton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laughton
2
3
Bjugstad
Laughton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (867)
47.4% (719)
+2.0%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
50.4% (129)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (216)
45.0% (229)
-4.3%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Bjugstad shoots right. Laughton is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Laughton
Home
46.5% (480)
50.2% (520)
Away
48.9% (628)
44.5% (557)
By Period
Bjugstad
Laughton
P1
48.7%
44.2%
P2
45.6%
49.1%
P3
49.1%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
36.8%
Final 5 min
45.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 15:02 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 17:50 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 00:07 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |