Scouting Report
Stephen Weiss holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Weiss 51.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 55.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 59.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 60.0%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Bjugstad
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Bjugstad
Weiss
Last 6: Bjugstad 2-4 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
0
1
Bjugstad
Weiss
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
0
2
Bjugstad
Weiss
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
1
Bjugstad
Weiss
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (937)
52.3% (308)
-4.0%
Power Play
56.1% (148)
42.9% (35)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
34.2% (38)
57.1% (14)
-22.9%
On penalty kill, Weiss has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Bjugstad shoots right. Weiss is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Weiss
Home
50.5% (574)
51.7% (172)
Away
47.2% (549)
51.4% (185)
By Period
Bjugstad
Weiss
P1
52.4%
53.2%
P2
46.8%
53.2%
P3
45.5%
50.0%
OT
78.3%
16.7%
Final 5 min
48.4%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 05:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |