Scouting Report
Stephen Weiss holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.9% vs Weiss 53.0% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 54.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 72.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 62.0%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Bjugstad
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Bjugstad
Weiss
Last 6: Bjugstad 2-4 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
0
1
Bjugstad
Weiss
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
0
2
Bjugstad
Weiss
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
1
Bjugstad
Weiss
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,634)
53.0% (2,521)
-4.4%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
54.6% (560)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
49.4% (245)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Weiss has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Bjugstad shoots right. Weiss is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Weiss
Home
49.8% (4,020)
54.7% (1,745)
Away
48.1% (4,057)
51.3% (1,657)
By Period
Bjugstad
Weiss
P1
49.0%
53.5%
P2
49.1%
54.2%
P3
48.4%
52.2%
OT
61.3%
44.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 05:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |