Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bjugstad wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.9% vs Boyd 44.1% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 59.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 65.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 65.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Bjugstad
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Bjugstad
Boyd
Last 9: Bjugstad 5-4 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
1
3
Bjugstad
Boyd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
0
Bjugstad
Boyd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Boyd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,634)
44.4% (2,186)
+4.2%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
46.5% (256)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
35.6% (208)
+8.7%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,330).
Bjugstad shoots right. Boyd is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Boyd
Home
49.8% (4,020)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
48.1% (4,057)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Bjugstad
Boyd
P1
49.0%
41.7%
P2
49.1%
46.2%
P3
48.4%
44.0%
OT
61.3%
22.2%
Final 5 min
47.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 04:50 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |