Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Bjugstad wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 53.8% vs Boyd 45.8% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyd 60.9%
Defensive zone
Boyd 51.3%
Neutral zone
Boyd 52.6%
Result
Travis Boyd favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Bjugstad
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Bjugstad
Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
2
Bjugstad
Boyd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Boyd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (245)
45.9% (784)
+10.0%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
43.2% (81)
-43.2%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
40.3% (62)
+16.8%
On power play, Boyd has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Bjugstad is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Bjugstad shoots right. Boyd is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Boyd
Home
53.2% (111)
45.1% (501)
Away
56.9% (144)
45.5% (426)
By Period
Bjugstad
Boyd
P1
44.6%
45.9%
P2
61.4%
44.6%
P3
61.3%
45.8%
Final 5 min
50.8%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2021 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |