Scouting Report
Troy Brouwer holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Bjugstad wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Brouwer 55.6% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 67.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 69.7%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 66.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Bjugstad
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bjugstad
Brouwer
Last 5: Bjugstad 1-4 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Brouwer
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
2
Bjugstad
Brouwer
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
2
Bjugstad
Brouwer
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (806)
56.1% (171)
-8.8%
Power Play
55.0% (149)
60.0% (170)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
59.0% (39)
53.0% (100)
+6.0%
On even strength, Brouwer has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Bjugstad is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Bjugstad shoots right. Brouwer is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Brouwer
Home
55.4% (446)
61.8% (225)
Away
43.6% (548)
51.9% (216)
By Period
Bjugstad
Brouwer
P1
49.4%
57.8%
P2
48.1%
49.0%
P3
48.6%
65.2%
OT
61.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2015 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 01:25 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 05:06 | Neutral | Troy Brouwer |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | Troy Brouwer |