Scouting Report
Troy Brouwer holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Brouwer on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bjugstad wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Brouwer 50.5% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Brouwer leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Brouwer 51.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 61.7%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Bjugstad
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Bjugstad
Brouwer
Last 10: Bjugstad 2-8 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
2
3
Bjugstad
Brouwer
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
3
Bjugstad
Brouwer
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
2
Bjugstad
Brouwer
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,566)
50.3% (702)
-1.7%
Power Play
55.2% (828)
53.7% (551)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (612)
46.6% (412)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,311).
Bjugstad shoots right. Brouwer is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Brouwer
Home
50.0% (3,981)
53.5% (854)
Away
48.0% (4,025)
47.3% (811)
By Period
Bjugstad
Brouwer
P1
49.1%
51.4%
P2
49.0%
49.3%
P3
48.4%
51.2%
OT
61.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
47.2%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.0%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 01:25 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 05:06 | Neutral | Troy Brouwer |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | Troy Brouwer |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |