Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 46.8%). Look for Jost on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 47.3% vs Jost 47.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Jost 51.6%
Defensive zone
Jost 55.2%
Neutral zone
Jost 51.0%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Bjugstad
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Bjugstad
Jost
Last 10: Bjugstad 6-4 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
1
Bjugstad
Jost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
3
Bjugstad
Jost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
4
1
Bjugstad
Jost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (238)
47.7% (287)
-1.9%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
62.5% (8)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
39.2% (51)
+10.8%
On power play, Jost has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Bjugstad shoots right. Jost is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Jost
Home
48.9% (133)
49.5% (190)
Away
43.8% (137)
43.6% (156)
By Period
Bjugstad
Jost
P1
50.0%
43.2%
P2
40.6%
52.5%
P3
49.4%
44.5%
Final 5 min
45.5%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
46.3%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 15:44 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 01:55 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 17:33 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:56 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 15:02 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |