Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.1% vs Jost 45.0% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 57.4%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 78.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 71.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Bjugstad
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Bjugstad
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Jost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (280)
39.3% (84)
+9.6%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
50.0% (6)
-2.8%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Bjugstad shoots right. Jost is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Jost
Home
48.4% (190)
38.5% (52)
Away
49.2% (132)
41.0% (39)
By Period
Bjugstad
Jost
P1
41.7%
40.6%
P2
56.6%
38.9%
P3
48.7%
39.1%
Final 5 min
51.2%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |