Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.3% vs Bonino 52.3% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 51.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 50.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 59.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Lowry
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lowry
Bonino
Last 7: Lowry 5-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (491)
52.0% (717)
+4.2%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
62.7% (67)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (140)
50.7% (144)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Lowry is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Lowry shoots left. Bonino is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bonino
Home
57.8% (341)
54.8% (429)
Away
49.4% (308)
50.7% (499)
By Period
Lowry
Bonino
P1
53.2%
53.5%
P2
54.4%
49.5%
P3
53.0%
54.8%
OT
80.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
58.5%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.8%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 19:58 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 08:14 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |