Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 54.1% vs Bonino 51.6% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 55.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 74.7%
Neutral zone
Bonino 56.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Copp
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Copp
Bonino
Last 6: Copp 2-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Copp
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Copp
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (319)
52.6% (836)
+4.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
51.8% (110)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (37)
47.8% (186)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Copp is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Copp shoots left. Bonino is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Home / Away
Copp
Bonino
Home
57.1% (156)
50.8% (547)
Away
54.0% (202)
52.6% (585)
By Period
Copp
Bonino
P1
64.5%
56.2%
P2
53.2%
48.9%
P3
49.6%
50.9%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 10:02 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 15:27 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 15:21 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |