Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 44.8% vs Bonino 48.1% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 52.1%
Defensive zone
Coleman 53.9%
Neutral zone
Coleman 52.6%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Coleman
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Coleman
Bonino
Last 5: Coleman 2-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coleman
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Coleman
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coleman
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (196)
48.7% (917)
-4.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
53.2% (94)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
29.6% (27)
42.1% (202)
-12.5%
On power play, Bonino has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Coleman is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Coleman shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (781).
Home / Away
Coleman
Bonino
Home
42.6% (108)
51.0% (629)
Away
42.4% (118)
44.7% (584)
By Period
Coleman
Bonino
P1
44.6%
49.0%
P2
42.7%
45.4%
P3
40.3%
50.2%
Final 5 min
39.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
42.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 18:26 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 14:24 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |