Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Bonino 48.5% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 69.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 75.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 74.6%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Coyle
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Coyle
Bonino
Last 8: Coyle 1-7 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Coyle
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Coyle
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
48.1% (324)
+4.6%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
57.9% (38)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
44.3% (88)
+3.8%
On power play, Coyle has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. Bonino is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Coyle
Bonino
Home
53.3% (512)
52.0% (244)
Away
51.9% (507)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Coyle
Bonino
P1
53.8%
48.0%
P2
47.8%
42.9%
P3
56.7%
53.9%
OT
38.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.1%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 01:34 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 09:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |