Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barbashev wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 45.7% vs Bonino 52.5% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 66.0%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 53.6%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 62.6%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Barbashev
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Barbashev
Bonino
Last 8: Barbashev 3-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
Barbashev
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Barbashev
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (154)
54.9% (395)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
43.5% (186)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Barbashev is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Barbashev shoots left. Bonino is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Bonino
Home
40.6% (101)
52.3% (363)
Away
46.6% (88)
53.4% (328)
By Period
Barbashev
Bonino
P1
43.3%
52.0%
P2
41.1%
56.1%
P3
45.5%
51.5%
Final 5 min
34.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
43.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2021 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| May 12, 2021 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| May 12, 2021 | 1 | 08:57 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 14:57 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |