Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings). McCann wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Bonino 50.0% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 17-6 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 91.7%
Defensive zone
McCann 85.1%
Neutral zone
McCann 84.9%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
McCann
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
17
(23 meetings)
6
17
McCann
Bonino
Last 10: McCann 3-7 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
2
0
McCann
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
13
McCann
Bonino
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
4
McCann
Bonino
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
50.6% (8,315)
-7.5%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
54.1% (972)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
44.6% (1,693)
-2.4%
On power play, Bonino has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
McCann shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
McCann
Bonino
Home
43.1% (1,758)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
McCann
Bonino
P1
44.4%
50.6%
P2
41.7%
48.5%
P3
42.7%
51.1%
OT
36.4%
45.7%
Final 5 min
41.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:38 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 17:53 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 15:10 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 00:51 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:11 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 16:54 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 04:50 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 16:29 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 04:43 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Jared McCann |