Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 51.8%). Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.2% vs Bonino 51.6% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 63.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 73.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 57.1%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Carter
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Carter
Bonino
Last 10: Carter 2-8 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Carter
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
7
Carter
Bonino
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Carter
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (935)
52.6% (836)
-2.7%
Power Play
61.8% (157)
51.8% (110)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (92)
47.8% (186)
-1.1%
On power play, Carter has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Carter is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Carter shoots right. Bonino is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Carter
Bonino
Home
52.4% (638)
50.8% (547)
Away
50.0% (546)
52.6% (585)
By Period
Carter
Bonino
P1
49.6%
56.2%
P2
50.9%
48.9%
P3
53.0%
50.9%
OT
58.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 11:01 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 07:13 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 00:51 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |