Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 49.0% vs Bonino 52.5% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 59.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 52.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 58.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Carter
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Carter
Bonino
Last 5: Carter 1-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Carter
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (242)
54.9% (395)
-5.3%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
60.9% (110)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (50)
43.5% (186)
-3.5%
On even strength, Bonino has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Carter is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Carter shoots right. Bonino is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Carter
Bonino
Home
48.6% (173)
52.3% (363)
Away
48.9% (141)
53.4% (328)
By Period
Carter
Bonino
P1
52.1%
52.0%
P2
47.8%
56.1%
P3
46.6%
51.5%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |