Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thornton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.6% vs Bonino 48.9% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 81.6%
Defensive zone
Thornton 78.8%
Neutral zone
Thornton 86.2%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Thornton
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Thornton
Bonino
Last 10: Thornton 7-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
1
Thornton
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thornton
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
0
Thornton
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (836)
49.6% (837)
+5.5%
Power Play
60.8% (181)
50.7% (223)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (82)
41.0% (134)
+15.1%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Thornton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (585).
Thornton shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Home / Away
Thornton
Bonino
Home
60.4% (528)
50.7% (564)
Away
52.2% (571)
47.1% (630)
By Period
Thornton
Bonino
P1
58.1%
44.9%
P2
55.3%
50.1%
P3
55.0%
50.9%
OT
55.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2014 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 9, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 9, 2014 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 30, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 16:54 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 14:59 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 10:26 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |