Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 50.8% vs Bonino 48.1% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 80.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 58.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 62.8%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Thornton
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Thornton
Bonino
Last 10: Thornton 6-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
1
Thornton
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
2
Thornton
Bonino
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (544)
48.7% (917)
+1.1%
Power Play
54.5% (178)
53.2% (94)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
42.1% (202)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Thornton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Thornton shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (781).
Home / Away
Thornton
Bonino
Home
54.9% (355)
51.0% (629)
Away
47.1% (382)
44.7% (584)
By Period
Thornton
Bonino
P1
46.0%
49.0%
P2
52.5%
45.4%
P3
55.6%
50.2%
OT
33.3%
23.1%
Final 5 min
46.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 09:53 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 03:29 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 05:04 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |