Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 47.4%). Look for Vitale on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 48.5% vs Bonino 47.6% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 62.2%
Defensive zone
Vitale 70.0%
Neutral zone
Vitale 55.2%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Vitale
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Vitale
Bonino
Last 9: Vitale 6-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
4
1
Vitale
Bonino
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (539)
48.2% (926)
+2.6%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
48.6% (109)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (189)
43.3% (210)
-2.0%
On power play, Bonino has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Vitale is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Vitale shoots right. Bonino is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Vitale
Bonino
Home
46.9% (371)
47.8% (653)
Away
49.7% (362)
47.0% (592)
By Period
Vitale
Bonino
P1
52.9%
45.9%
P2
44.2%
47.0%
P3
47.9%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
48.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 06:27 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |