Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.6%). Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.7% vs Bonino 52.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 56.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 50.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Eller
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Eller
Bonino
Last 5: Eller 4-1 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Eller
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (769)
52.0% (717)
+0.8%
Power Play
54.7% (75)
62.7% (67)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (188)
50.7% (144)
-3.9%
On power play, Bonino has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Eller is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Eller shoots left. Bonino is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Eller
Bonino
Home
51.3% (513)
54.8% (429)
Away
52.5% (520)
50.7% (499)
By Period
Eller
Bonino
P1
50.3%
53.5%
P2
52.8%
49.5%
P3
51.4%
54.8%
OT
87.5%
45.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 19:44 | Offensive | Lars Eller |