Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 47.4%). Look for Couture on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Bonino 47.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 56.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 51.4%
Neutral zone
Couture 55.3%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Couture
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Couture
Bonino
Last 6: Couture 4-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
3
0
Couture
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Couture
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Couture
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (879)
48.2% (926)
+1.1%
Power Play
61.3% (31)
48.6% (109)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (80)
43.3% (210)
-12.0%
On power play, Couture has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Couture is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Couture shoots left. Bonino is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Home / Away
Couture
Bonino
Home
51.4% (521)
47.8% (653)
Away
44.6% (469)
47.0% (592)
By Period
Couture
Bonino
P1
44.0%
45.9%
P2
48.3%
47.0%
P3
53.1%
49.4%
OT
28.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.2%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 07:18 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Logan Couture |