Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Couture wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 40.7% vs Bonino 48.1% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 67.0%
Defensive zone
Couture 74.8%
Neutral zone
Couture 68.9%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Couture
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Couture
Bonino
Last 5: Couture 1-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Couture
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Couture
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (690)
48.7% (917)
-8.8%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
53.2% (94)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (54)
42.1% (202)
-8.8%
On even strength, Bonino has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Couture is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Couture shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (781).
Home / Away
Couture
Bonino
Home
41.3% (368)
51.0% (629)
Away
37.7% (385)
44.7% (584)
By Period
Couture
Bonino
P1
40.1%
49.0%
P2
38.4%
45.4%
P3
40.5%
50.2%
OT
0.0%
23.1%
Final 5 min
41.1%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
39.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |