Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hanzal wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 55.4% vs Bonino 50.4% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 75.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 90.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 79.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 85.1%
14.9%
85.1%
Hanzal
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Hanzal
Bonino
Last 5: Hanzal 0-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Hanzal
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Hanzal
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Hanzal
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (754)
50.2% (691)
+4.7%
Power Play
61.4% (228)
61.5% (78)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (65)
45.6% (149)
+3.6%
On even strength, Hanzal has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Hanzal is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Hanzal shoots left. Bonino is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Bonino
Home
58.1% (539)
52.7% (467)
Away
53.7% (508)
48.1% (451)
By Period
Hanzal
Bonino
P1
56.5%
48.9%
P2
57.9%
50.2%
P3
53.6%
51.7%
OT
57.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.0%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2016 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |