Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Koivu wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.1% vs Bonino 51.6% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 79.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 52.7%
Neutral zone
Koivu 69.6%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Koivu
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Koivu
Bonino
Last 5: Koivu 5-0 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
0
Koivu
Bonino
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (672)
52.6% (836)
+2.5%
Power Play
56.5% (115)
51.8% (110)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (107)
47.8% (186)
+1.7%
On power play, Koivu has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Koivu is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Koivu shoots left. Bonino is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Home / Away
Koivu
Bonino
Home
56.6% (410)
50.8% (547)
Away
52.9% (484)
52.6% (585)
By Period
Koivu
Bonino
P1
51.7%
56.2%
P2
56.7%
48.9%
P3
55.3%
50.9%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2018 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 1 | 08:03 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |