Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 50.8% vs Bonino 48.9% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 61.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 88.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 77.0%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Thompson
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Thompson
Bonino
Last 5: Thompson 5-0 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
0
Thompson
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (785)
49.6% (837)
+2.6%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
50.7% (223)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (175)
41.0% (134)
+4.7%
On power play, Bonino has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Thompson is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Thompson shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Home / Away
Thompson
Bonino
Home
54.1% (475)
50.7% (564)
Away
47.9% (499)
47.1% (630)
By Period
Thompson
Bonino
P1
50.0%
44.9%
P2
49.5%
50.1%
P3
54.0%
50.9%
OT
35.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2013 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |