Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bonino wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Suzuki 49.6% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 67.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 66.9%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 52.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Bonino
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bonino
Suzuki
Last 5: Bonino 4-1 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
0
Bonino
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
50.3% (1,075)
+1.4%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
49.3% (219)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
43.1% (116)
+0.8%
On power play, Bonino has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Bonino shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Home / Away
Bonino
Suzuki
Home
48.2% (461)
53.6% (711)
Away
54.5% (464)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Bonino
Suzuki
P1
54.1%
48.5%
P2
49.7%
51.7%
P3
50.7%
49.0%
OT
40.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 17:57 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 01:03 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 03:52 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |