Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 13 meetings). Bonino wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 52.3% vs Bergeron 57.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 77.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 95.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 85.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Bonino
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
14
(19 meetings)
5
14
Bonino
Bergeron
Last 10: Bonino 1-9 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
13
Bonino
Bergeron
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
1
Bonino
Bergeron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
0
Bonino
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (717)
59.9% (870)
-7.9%
Power Play
62.7% (67)
54.4% (272)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (144)
53.3% (169)
-2.6%
On power play, Bonino has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Bonino is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Bonino shoots left. Bergeron is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Home / Away
Bonino
Bergeron
Home
54.8% (429)
57.8% (611)
Away
50.7% (499)
58.0% (700)
By Period
Bonino
Bergeron
P1
53.5%
57.7%
P2
49.5%
57.6%
P3
54.8%
58.7%
OT
45.5%
52.4%
Final 5 min
47.9%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 18:29 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 17:02 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 12:14 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 00:35 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |