Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.5% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 92.6%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 62.9%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 74.7%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 85.2%
14.8%
85.2%
Bonino
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Bonino
Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
1
Bonino
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (324)
62.5% (1,109)
-14.4%
Power Play
57.9% (38)
62.2% (352)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
53.5% (245)
-9.2%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Bonino is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Bonino shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
Bonino
Bergeron
Home
52.0% (244)
61.9% (917)
Away
43.7% (206)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Bonino
Bergeron
P1
48.0%
60.8%
P2
42.9%
60.3%
P3
53.9%
63.0%
OT
66.7%
51.5%
Final 5 min
52.4%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 01:25 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |